In a concerning development for the Nigerian economy, the value of the Naira took a significant hit in the parallel market, reaching its lowest point since the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) introduced forex market reforms on June 14th.
The currency’s depreciation is raising alarms and is primarily attributed to a growing scarcity of the dollar coupled with a surging demand.
Touchaheart Nigeria reports that the recent fluctuations in the Naira’s exchange rate and the factors contributing to this downward spiral.
The Parallel Market Plunge
Reports from black market traders have indicated that the Naira experienced a sharp drop, rising by N23 to N950 per dollar.
This drop was observed within a single day, from N927 per dollar on Wednesday.
The abrupt change is a clear indication of the volatility currently affecting Nigeria’s foreign exchange market.
Investors and Exporters Window
The Investors and Exporters (I&E) window, which is often considered a more official gauge of the Naira’s performance, also witnessed a decline.
The indicative exchange rate for this window rose by N21.88, pushing the rate to N780 per dollar, compared to N758.12 per dollar on the previous Wednesday.
This movement further emphasizes the challenges faced by the Naira in maintaining its value.
Widening Gap between Official and Parallel Markets
One of the significant concerns arising from these developments is the widening gap between the official and parallel market exchange rates.
On the day in question, this gap expanded to N170 per dollar, up from N168.88 per dollar just a day before.
Such a significant difference between the two rates reflects the growing pressure on the Naira and the difficulties in stabilizing its value.
The Impact of CBN Reforms
The Naira’s decline in the forex market can be traced back to the CBN’s reform measures introduced on June 14th.
These reforms aimed to streamline the foreign exchange market by eliminating multiple exchange rates in the official market and introducing the ‘willing buyer willing seller’ model for exchange rate determination in the I&E window.
Despite these measures, it appears that they have not been able to generate enough supply to meet the surging demand for dollars in the Nigerian economy.
This imbalance is a key driver behind the Naira’s recent depreciation.
What You Should Know
In conclusion, the Naira’s depreciation to N950 per dollar in the parallel market raises significant concerns about the stability of Nigeria’s currency.
The widening gap between official and parallel market rates underscores the challenges faced by the Naira.
While the CBN’s reforms aimed to create a more transparent and efficient forex market, they have not yet been able to fully address the supply-demand imbalance.
The future of the Naira’s value remains uncertain, and stakeholders will be closely monitoring the situation to determine the necessary steps to stabilize the currency and ensure a healthy economic environment.
